Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6218
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 6218 · BTV → ORD
departs 7:47 PM ET · arrives 9:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 26%
Mon 10/5 14%
Fri 10/9 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
53%
Arrive 1h+ late
39%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 56% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave BTV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
19%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
BTV is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
BTV (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.