Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6218
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 6218 · ORD → BTV
departs 3:53 PM CT · arrives 7:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 33%
Mon 10/5 22%
Fri 10/9 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at BTV more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BTV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 54% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at BTV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to BTV?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
3pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
BTV usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
BTV (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.