Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6225
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 6225 · ASE → ORD
departs 7:25 AM MT · arrives 11:31 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 17%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±7 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ASE (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.