OO 6226 · PHX → ICT

departs 8:30 AM MT · arrives 1:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ICT?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ICT that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ ICT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ICT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6226 · PHX → ICT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ICT?