Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6230
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 6230 · ORD → CVG
departs 4:06 PM CT · arrives 6:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 30%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 27%
Wed 10/7 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±5 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
4pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
CVG usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.86 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.