Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6232
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 6232 · FWA → ORD
departs 11:10 AM ET · arrives 11:31 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
43%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
43%
Leave 15+ late
41%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Leave FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
FWA usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
FWA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip 0.17 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.88 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.