OO 6243 · AUS → LAX

departs 2:59 PM CT · arrives 4:23 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,233 ft, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ 2pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at LAX that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,167 ft Visibility6.66667 mi Precip2.02 in

LAX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6243 · AUS → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?