Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6250
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 6250 · MCI → ORD
departs 9:14 AM CT · arrives 11:05 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 9/30 41%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 13%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.67 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.