OO 6251 · ORD → RST

departs 3:36 PM CT · arrives 4:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at RST more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RST?

On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 3pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ RST usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.48 in

RST (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6251 · ORD → RST

Odds over time

How late will it get to RST?