OO 6251 · RST → ORD

departs 6:17 PM CT · arrives 7:42 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

75% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
21%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
29%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ RST usually runs smoothly

↓ RST is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

RST (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.17 in

ORD (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6251 · RST → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?