OO 6272 · DFW → SBN

departs 2:32 PM CT · arrives 6:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?

87% chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SBN?

On time or early
12%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
40%
Over 2 hours late
19%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SBN that day

↓ SBN usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip5.38 in

SBN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.55 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6272 · DFW → SBN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SBN?