Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6276
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 6276 · PHX → OKC
departs 1:16 PM MT · arrives 5:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Wed 9/30 33%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.4 in of rain forecast at OKC that day
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↑
1pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OKC (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 1.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.