OO 6295 · ORD → FWA

departs 5:15 PM CT · arrives 7:29 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?

78% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FWA?

On time or early
21%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
33%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 5pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FWA

↓ FWA usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.88 in

FWA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6295 · ORD → FWA

Odds over time

How late will it get to FWA?