OO 6308 · ORD → MLI

departs 3:11 PM CT · arrives 4:13 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at MLI more than 15 minutes late?

79% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MLI?

On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
34%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 3pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MLI that day

↓ MLI usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.11 in

MLI (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6308 · ORD → MLI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MLI?