Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6315
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 6315 · LAX → TUS
departs 7:25 PM PT · arrives 9:02 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at TUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUS?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at LAX that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUS
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
TUS (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.