OO 6406 · PHX → PSP

departs 3:10 PM MT · arrives 4:27 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PSP?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PSP (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6406 · PHX → PSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to PSP?