Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6427
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 6427 · ORD → ASE
departs 11:10 AM CT · arrives 1:16 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
46%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Arrive at ASE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ASE?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
11am departures from ORD are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.86 in
ASE (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.