Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6436
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 6436 · DFW → SAF
departs 9:03 PM CT · arrives 10:04 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 33%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 14%
Fri 10/9 16%
Sat 10/10 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±1 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at SAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to SAF?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
9pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
SAF (destination)
Gusts 36 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.