Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6445
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 6445 · ORD → TYS
departs 8:15 AM CT · arrives 11:05 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at TYS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TYS?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
8am departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.23 in
TYS (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.