OO 6448 · SBN → DFW

departs 6:38 PM ET · arrives 8:06 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

81% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
15%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
30%
Cancelled
22%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SBN that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SBN is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

SBN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.38 in

DFW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.84 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6448 · SBN → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?