Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6465
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 6465 · DTW → ORD
departs 6:45 AM ET · arrives 7:30 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Wed 9/30 22%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 12%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 5,000 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.16 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 1.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.