Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6473
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 6473 · ICT → PHX
departs 12:39 PM CT · arrives 1:10 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 15%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at ICT that day
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
ICT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ICT (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.61 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.