Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6474
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 6474 · PHX → FLG
departs 7:06 PM MT · arrives 7:59 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLG more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at FLG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLG?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Other factors
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
OO's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLG (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.