OO 6495 · DFW → ROW

departs 11:02 AM CT · arrives 11:43 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ROW more than 15 minutes late?

85% chance · ±1 pts +29 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ROW?

On time or early
6%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
19%
Cancelled
57%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into ROW at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip6.43 in

ROW (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6495 · DFW → ROW

Odds over time

How late will it get to ROW?