Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6509
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 6509 · PHX → YUM
departs 7:12 PM MT · arrives 8:08 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 17%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at YUM more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YUM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at YUM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YUM?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at YUM
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
YUM (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.