Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6510
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 6510 · LAX → SFO
departs 10:32 PM PT · arrives 11:59 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at SFO that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.