OO 730 · IAH → MEI

departs 5:06 PM CT · arrives 6:47 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at MEI more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MEI?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ 5pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MEI usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.16 in

MEI (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 730 · IAH → MEI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEI?