UA 1006 · LAS → DEN

departs 11:58 AM PT · arrives 3:16 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from LAS are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1006 · LAS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?