UA 1089 · MEX → IAH

departs 9:35 AM CST · arrives 12:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEX

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MEX (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1089 · MEX → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?