UA 1111 · SFO → LIH

departs 8:52 AM PT · arrives 11:52 AM HT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LIH?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1.46429 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at LIH that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ LIH is prone to delays

↓ This flight has been late 8% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

LIH (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1111 · SFO → LIH

Odds over time

How late will it get to LIH?