tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1206 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1206 · TPA → EWR

departs 4:21 PM ET · arrives 7:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
68% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    30%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    28%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    14%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    11%
  6. Cancelled
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.