UA 1322 · IAD → RDU

departs 6:45 PM ET · arrives 8:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from IAD are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1322 · IAD → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?