Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1346 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

UA 1346 · HNL → SFO

departs 10:10 PM HT · arrives 6:09 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts +25 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.61 in

SFO (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1346 · HNL → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?