UA 1371 · STL → IAH

departs 6:15 AM CT · arrives 8:23 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2.66667 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at STL that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from STL are usually not late

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling667 ft Visibility3.33333 mi Precip0.21 in

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1371 · STL → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?