UA 1380 · STL → DEN

departs 1:38 PM CT · arrives 3:00 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±2 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at STL that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,433 ft Visibility5.66667 mi Precip0.19 in

DEN (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1380 · STL → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?