tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1460 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1460 · BNA → IAD

departs 6:30 PM CT · arrives 9:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
28% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.9d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    71%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.