Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1486 SCHEDULED

UA 1486 · ORD → IAD

departs 10:52 AM CT · arrives 1:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
30% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    69%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.