UA 1572 · MCI → IAD

departs 11:44 AM CT · arrives 3:21 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +34 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
35%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.6 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.64 in

IAD (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1572 · MCI → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?