UA 1585 · DEN → RAP

departs 11:10 AM MT · arrives 12:31 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RAP?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ RAP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RAP (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1585 · DEN → RAP

Odds over time

How late will it get to RAP?