Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1611 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

UA 1611 · FLL → EWR

departs 12:46 PM ET · arrives 3:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±4 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ 12pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.72 in

EWR (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1611 · FLL → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?