tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1640 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1640 · FAI → ORD

departs 8:45 PM AKT · arrives 5:42 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
42% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    53%
  2. 15–30 min late
    21%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.