Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1696 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

UA 1696 · FLL → IAH

departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 6:56 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±7 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ FLL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.84 in

IAH (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1696 · FLL → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?