UA 1792 · RSW → EWR

departs 4:39 PM ET · arrives 7:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 44 kt, cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 1.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ RSW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts44 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.79 in

EWR (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1792 · RSW → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?