Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1806 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

UA 1806 · HNL → DEN

departs 9:40 PM HT · arrives 8:17 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts +29 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
36%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ HNL usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.61 in

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1806 · HNL → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?