UA 1808 · LEX → DEN

departs 9:06 AM ET · arrives 10:12 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LEX

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LEX (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1808 · LEX → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?