UA 1872 · MCO → IAH

departs 5:19 PM ET · arrives 6:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

74% chance · ±0 pts +28 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
40%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
27%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ 5pm departures from MCO are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1872 · MCO → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?