UA 1933 · LAS → EWR

departs 2:01 PM PT · arrives 10:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±8 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1933 · LAS → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?