UA 1953 · YYC → DEN

departs 1:27 PM MDT · arrives 3:58 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YYC

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

YYC (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1953 · YYC → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?