UA 2013 · DEN → SEA

departs 3:58 PM MT · arrives 5:59 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts +27 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
32%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2013 · DEN → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?