UA 2151 · EWR → FLL

departs 8:42 AM ET · arrives 11:43 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
33%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.25 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2151 · EWR → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?